Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Refsnes seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The heart of the North Atlantic storm track delivers the goods from October through March, with average swell heights consistently above 1.9m and periods ranging from 8.1 to 9.0 seconds. This is prime time for Refsnes, as the powerful, long-period groundswells from the SSW through W quadrants combine with a higher frequency of offshore winds from the NNE to E. The winter months see a climatological increase in extratropical cyclone activity, which not only pumps up the swell but also often sets up favorable pressure gradients for clean, groomed conditions. When the alignment is right and a high-pressure ridge builds over Scandinavia, you can expect pumping, rippable waves in the 1.5-2.5m range with that distinct Norwegian bite. Expect the best consistency from November through February.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

April and September serve as transition months, offering a mixed bag. In April, the average swell drops to 1.4m with a period of 8.2s, but the wind is ideal 20% of the time — the highest percentage of the year. This means that when conditions align, you'll find clean, fun-sized waves with offshore breezes. September sees a resurgence of swell energy as autumn storms begin to form, averaging 1.6m at 7.6s, though the offshore wind frequency dips slightly to 16%. Both months can produce excellent sessions, but they require more patience and careful forecast watching to catch the right windows.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

From May through August, the North Atlantic storm track retreats northward, leaving Refsnes with predominantly small, short-period swell averaging just 1.1-1.2m and periods under 7.5s. The dominant swell direction shifts to the NW and NNW, which are far from optimal for this WSW-facing beach, often resulting in weak, crumbly waves. Additionally, offshore wind windows become scarce, with ideal conditions only occurring 12-16% of the time. The prevailing summer wind pattern brings persistent onshore flow from the SSE through SW, further degrading wave quality. While the occasional cold front can stir up a pulse, this is largely a period for groveling on micro-swell or exploring other pursuits. For serious surf, look elsewhere during these months.

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Conditions at Refsnes in May

May: Small Swell, Occasional Gems

May sees a significant drop-off in both size and period, with average swell heights of 1.1m and periods of 7.2s. The dominant swell direction is overwhelmingly from the NW (25.3%), with W (7.1%) and WSW (6.0%) taking a back seat. This means most swell misses the spot, wrapping in weakly. Wind conditions are challenging: ideal offshore winds only occur 16% of the time, with the prevailing flow from the NNW (21.9%) and NW (13.2%). These winds are cross-offshore at best, but often have an onshore component. The best chance for a fun session comes from a late-season cold front that swings the wind to the NE and delivers a small pulse of WSW swell. Otherwise, it's a month for micro-skill sessions or exploring other activities.

Average Spot conditions at Refsnes in May

Swell history for May

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for May

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Refsnes during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Refsnes for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Refsnes for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Refsnes.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size