Shoals Point - surf spot statistics

The best months for surfing at Shoals Point, United States, are typically from late autumn through early spring, with the peak season falling between October and March. During this period, the spot benefits from consistent ground swell activity, with ground swell probabilities ranging from 46% in October to 73% in January and 71% in December. Mean swell sizes are also most favorable, averaging 0.9m to 1.0m from October through February, providing solid, rideable waves. However, wind conditions are often challenging, with bad winds (onshore or unfavorable directions) dominating 85-89% of the time. The best compromise between swell and wind occurs in September, when ground swell is decent (28%), wind swell plays a bigger role (35%), and good wind conditions are slightly more likely (15%). Summer months (May to August) are generally poor, with weak swells (0.5m-0.6m) and high no-swell probabilities (50-67%), making them the least reliable for surf. If you're willing to tolerate less-than-ideal winds, target the winter months for the best wave quality, but keep an eye on wind forecasts for rare clean days. September offers a more balanced mix but with smaller swells compared to winter.

June at Shoals Point typically offers small but consistent surf, with an average swell height of 0.5m and a decent period of 11.7s, suggesting clean, well-spaced waves. The dominant swell directions are SW (37.77% under 0.5m, 19.06% 0.5-1m) and SSW (6.41% under 0.5m, 4.58% 0.5-1m), occasionally mixing with SSE and S swells for slightly larger sets (up to 1.5-2m in rare cases). However, wave quality is often limited by size, with 80.41% of swells under 1m. Wind conditions are a challenge—only 12% of the time are they ideal for surfing, as prevailing summer winds tend to be moderate (10-20kph) from the S, SSE, or SE, which can create onshore chop. Cleaner sessions are most likely with light W or WSW winds (2.86% under 10kph), but these are infrequent. Overall, June suits beginners or longboarders on smaller days, with short windows for better quality when winds align.