Shoals Point - surf spot statistics

The best months for surfing at Shoals Point, United States, are typically from late autumn through early spring, with the peak season falling between October and March. During this period, the spot benefits from consistent ground swell activity, with ground swell probabilities ranging from 46% in October to 73% in January and 71% in December. Mean swell sizes are also most favorable, averaging 0.9m to 1.0m from October through February, providing solid, rideable waves. However, wind conditions are often challenging, with bad winds (onshore or unfavorable directions) dominating 85-89% of the time. The best compromise between swell and wind occurs in September, when ground swell is decent (28%), wind swell plays a bigger role (35%), and good wind conditions are slightly more likely (15%). Summer months (May to August) are generally poor, with weak swells (0.5m-0.6m) and high no-swell probabilities (50-67%), making them the least reliable for surf. If you're willing to tolerate less-than-ideal winds, target the winter months for the best wave quality, but keep an eye on wind forecasts for rare clean days. September offers a more balanced mix but with smaller swells compared to winter.

July at Shoals Point typically offers small but clean conditions for surfers, with an average swell height of 0.5m and a decent period of 11.8s, which helps maintain some quality in the waves. The swell direction is predominantly from the SW and WSW, accounting for the majority of the waves, though most are under 1.5m in height. Only about 9% of the time does the wind align favorably for surfing, usually when it's light and offshore. The most common wind directions are from the S, SSE, and W, often in the 10-20kph range, which can create chop or side-shore effects. While larger swells over 1.5m are rare, when they do occur, they're mostly from the S or SSW. Overall, July tends to be a quieter month for surf, best suited for longboarders or those happy with smaller, playful conditions. Expect mostly knee-to-waist-high waves with occasional chest-high sets when the swell picks up. Wind can be a limiting factor, so early mornings may offer the cleanest sessions.