Shoals Point - surf spot statistics

The best months for surfing at Shoals Point, United States, are typically from late autumn through early spring, with the peak season falling between October and March. During this period, the spot benefits from consistent ground swell activity, with ground swell probabilities ranging from 46% in October to 73% in January and 71% in December. Mean swell sizes are also most favorable, averaging 0.9m to 1.0m from October through February, providing solid, rideable waves. However, wind conditions are often challenging, with bad winds (onshore or unfavorable directions) dominating 85-89% of the time. The best compromise between swell and wind occurs in September, when ground swell is decent (28%), wind swell plays a bigger role (35%), and good wind conditions are slightly more likely (15%). Summer months (May to August) are generally poor, with weak swells (0.5m-0.6m) and high no-swell probabilities (50-67%), making them the least reliable for surf. If you're willing to tolerate less-than-ideal winds, target the winter months for the best wave quality, but keep an eye on wind forecasts for rare clean days. September offers a more balanced mix but with smaller swells compared to winter.

In May, Shoals Point offers generally small but clean conditions for surfers, with an average swell height of 0.6m and a decent period of 11.6s, suggesting well-spaced, organized waves. The direction of the swell is predominantly from the SW to SSW, with most waves falling in the 0-0.5m and 0.5-1m range (58.5% combined), though occasional peaks up to 1.5m do occur (6.3% of the time). Larger swells (1.5m+) are rare, making it more suitable for beginners or longboarders, except on days with SSW swells, where slightly punchier waves may form. Wind conditions are less favorable, with only 12% of days providing ideal offshore or light cross-shore winds. The most common onshore winds come from the SE to S, often in the 10-30kph range, which can create choppier conditions. NW winds, though less frequent, occasionally provide cleaner conditions. Overall, May is a hit-or-miss month—expect small, playful waves when winds cooperate, but frequent onshore breezes may limit quality sessions.