Stoney Beach seasonal overview
Best Surf Season (June - August)
The Tasman Sea and Southern Ocean fire up during the Southern Hemisphere winter, delivering the most consistent and powerful swell of the year to Stoney Beach. Average wave heights climb to 1.3m with periods often pushing into the 10-11 second range, putting the spot in the 'punchy, rideable' to 'powerful, long period' sweet spot. More importantly, the frequency of offshore winds from the south through west-southwest reaches its annual peak, with ideal conditions blowing 31-36% of the time. This means many of those juicy ENE groundswells will be groomed clean by a crisp offshore breeze, creating the kind of lined-up, rippable waves that make the long drive worth it. The combination of increased swell energy and favorable wind aligns to produce the most reliable surf of the year.
Fair Surf Season (March - May & September - November)
As the seasons transition, the surf at Stoney Beach becomes a bit more of a mixed bag. During autumn (March-May), you’ll still see solid swell from the east-northeast sector, with average heights around 1.2m and periods lengthening into the 10-second range. The wind also begins to seasonally back off from its winter peak, with ideal conditions occurring 24-32% of the time. Spring (September-November) sees a similar pattern, though the average period dips a bit as we exit winter. In both shoulder seasons, the window of opportunity often comes from strong high-pressure systems drifting across the Tasman, which can generate those glassy mornings with a clean groundswell. However, periods of onshore northeasterlies are still common, so patience and careful forecast monitoring are key to scoring good waves.
Low Surf Season (December - February)
The height of the Kiwi summer is the most challenging time for consistent surf at Stoney Beach. Average swell heights drop to 1.1m and periods shorten to the 8.5-9.1 second range, meaning a lot of the energy will be weaker and more wind-affected. Crucially, the percentage of ideal offshore winds hits its annual low at 23-24%. The prevailing northeasterly sea breeze kicks in almost daily, putting a chop on the waves and ruining the shape. While there can be brief windows of clean conditions when a southerly change pushes through, these are often short-lived. This is the season for groveling on small, weak days and accepting that wave quality is typically poor. The only saving grace is the warmer air and water temps, which make a bad day at the beach a little easier to swallow.
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Conditions at Stoney Beach in May
May: The Heart of the Autumn Window
May is arguably the first stand-out month of the year for Stoney Beach. The average swell height is 1.2m, but the period continues to rise, now averaging 10.6 seconds – squarely in the 'powerful, long period' range. A significant portion of the swell comes from the S (15.5%) and SSE (11.6%), indicating strong Southern Ocean groundswell making its presence felt. Critically, the wind reaches its best balance yet: ideal offshore conditions blow 32% of the time, with strong contributions from the SW (9.8%) and SSW (10.4%) quadrants. The onshore northeasterlies continue to weaken. This means that when a big, long-period S or ESE swell lines up with a crisp offshore wind, Stoney Beach can serve up some truly epic, firing waves in the 1.5m to 2.5m range. This is the month to start checking the long-range charts seriously.
Average Spot conditions at Stoney Beach in May
Swell history for May
Wind history for May
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Stoney Beach during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Stoney Beach for your next trip in May.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Stoney Beach for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Stoney Beach.
