Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Taito seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The winter half-year delivers the most consistent swell at Taito. As the Aleutian Low strengthens and cold fronts push across the North Pacific, we see a marked increase in long-period groundswell from the NE through E quadrants. The average wave period climbs above 9 seconds, often peaking in the 9.5s range during January and December, producing punchy to powerful waves. While the predominant winds blow from the N and NE – onshore for this ENE-facing beach – the percentage of optimal offshore flow from SSW through W remains low (16–20%). However, when a high-pressure system sets up over the Sea of Japan, light to moderate westerlies can align perfectly with the incoming NE swell, turning Taito into a clean, hollow peak. The average swell height hovers around 1.2–1.4 m, meaning waves are consistently in the fun-sized to solid range. The key is patience: waiting for those windows of offshore wind often yields the best surf of the year.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

April and September represent transitional months where the swell source shifts. In April, the North Pacific storm track becomes less active; swell heights drop slightly to 1.3 m and period shortens to 8.6s. The dominant swell direction rotates to E and SE, with a notable increase in ESE swell (17.6%). This means more waves wrap around from the south, offering rideable but less powerful surf. Offshore wind odds improve to 24% in April, with frequent light to moderate SSW and SW winds creating clean conditions. September sees a return of better-defined E/ENE swell (13.8% ENE, 25.2% E) as early autumn storms begin to form, and the average period recovers to 9.1s. However, onshore NE winds still dominate (19.3% of the time), limiting clean surf to around 22% of the month. Both months offer decent chances for fun, rippable waves when the wind cooperates, making them a bridge between the low and high seasons.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

From May through August, Taito experiences its weakest surf conditions. The summer monsoon and stable subtropical high-pressure systems prevail, pushing the dominant swell direction to the SE and SSE quadrants. This orientation is far from optimal for the ENE-facing beach, resulting in small, weak waves that often wrap in with little power. Average swell height drops to 1.1–1.2 m, and period dips to 8.0–8.4s – borderline average to choppy. Although offshore wind odds peak during this period (29–37% from SSW/SW), the lack of groundswell from the N through E directions means the waves are often too small or messy. Summer days can deliver fun-sized, groveling conditions on a rare good swell, but generally, this is the time to explore other spots or enjoy the warm water with a longboard. The best bet is to watch for typhoon swells that can swing around from the east, though they are infrequent and often accompanied by strong onshore winds.

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Conditions at Taito in May

May: Small Swell, Solid Wind

May settles into the low-season pattern. Average swell height drops to 1.2 m and period to 8.1s – the shortest of the year. Swell direction is dominated by ESE (20.6%) and SE (21.1%), meaning waves arrive from unfavorable angles. The E-facing exposure does catch some E swell (15.0%), but overall wave energy is weak and often mushy. Offshore wind odds increase to 29%, with SSW and SW winds making up 30.7% of the total. These winds are often moderate (10–30 kph), providing clean conditions for the small waves that do arrive. The result is a lot of glassy, small days – perfect for a log or a foamie. The average wave height stays in the fun-sized range, but long-period swells are rare. Keep an eye on distant typhoon swells that can sneak around the east, though they are infrequent in May.

Average Spot conditions at Taito in May

Swell history for May

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for May

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Taito during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Taito for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Taito for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Taito.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size