Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Topanga seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The most consistent period for quality surf at Topanga occurs during the winter half of the year, driven by a strong North Pacific storm track. While the dominant swell direction is from the W and WSW — which is a compromise for this south-facing point — the combination of long-period energy (averaging 12-13s) and regular offshore winds from the north and northeast offsets the marginal swell angle. These months boast the highest percentage of ideal wind conditions, peaking at 61% in December and 59% in January. This means more glassy, groomed faces that make the most of the wrap-around swell. The trade-off is that the swell is often more powerful than the average height suggests, producing punchy, clean lines when the wind aligns.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

April and September serve as transitional windows. In April, the North Pacific begins to quiet down, winds become more variable, and the frequency of ideal offshore flow drops to 44%. Swell direction shifts slightly toward the SW, which is a better angle for Topanga, but the period remains long (12s) and heights average 0.9m. September sees a similar setup: a slight uptick in south swell energy with 38% ideal wind. These months offer a mix of clean, lined-up days and choppier, onshore-driven slop. They represent a decent opportunity for those willing to chase the smaller, but more favorably angled swells.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

Summer is the most challenging period for Topanga. The North Pacific storm machine shuts down, and the predominant swells shift to SW and WSW — an ideal direction for the point. However, the wind pattern becomes hostile: offshore flow from the north drops to a meager 20-29% frequency. Instead, onshore winds from the S and SW dominate, ruining the surface quality on what could be otherwise promising south swell windows. Average swell height hovers around 0.8m, and while the period remains solid at 12-13s, the constant winds and frequent chop make conditions mediocre. The few windows of light or offshore flow can produce surprisingly good, rippable waves, but they are rare. Patience is key during the summer months.

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Conditions at Topanga in December

December: Peak Winter Offshore Consistency

December tops the year in wind quality, with 61% ideal. North and northeast winds dominate (18% from N, 20.2% from NNE), ensuring frequent glassy conditions. Swell height averages 0.8m, and period holds at 12.4s. The directional mix is similar to January: W leads at 53.6%, followed by WSW (29.5%) and SW (10.4%). While the swell angle is not perfect, the persistent offshore winds groom the waves beautifully, often creating clean, peeling lines. The most common wave size is 0.5-1m (36.8% from W alone), but the long period gives them punch. On the best days, a 1.5m+ west swell with a light north wind can produce superb, hollow waves. December is the premier month for surfers who value clean, groomed conditions over perfect direction. Patience and reading the swell angle are key.

Average Spot conditions at Topanga in December

Swell history for December

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for December

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Topanga during December. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Topanga for your next trip in December.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Topanga for December. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Topanga.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size