Troncones - surf spot statistics

Best Surf Season (November - February)

This is Troncones’ sweet spot. As the North Pacific winter pattern settles in, the trade wind inversion weakens, allowing frequent offshore breezes from the N-NE quadrant. Swell heights average a solid 1.2-1.3m with long-period groundswell (13-14s) sourced from distant Southern Ocean storms and the occasional North Pacific fetch that wraps into the SSW shore. The result? Powerful, clean lines that peel down the beach. December and January peak with over 50% ideal wind, making for consistent, rippable waves.

Fair Surf Season (March, April, October)

Transition months bring a trade-off. In March and October, you still get reliable pulses of SSW-SW swell, but the wind becomes a gamble. Offshore mornings are common, but afternoons see increasing onshore flow from the S-SW. April sees the swell ramp up (1.4m average) and periods lengthen, but ideal wind drops to 32% – meaning you’ll need to pick your windows carefully. These months are worth chasing if you time the morning offshore window or a post-frontal shift.

Low Surf Season (May - September)

The summer doldrums and hurricane season bring the largest swell of the year (1.5-1.7m average) with plenty of punch, but the wind is persistently onshore from the S-SW over 60% of the time. Dominant wind directions (SW, WSW) destroy the wave shape, making for choppy, bumpy conditions. While you might score a clean morning if a tropical storm passes far to the south and creates a window of offshore flow, most days are ruled by textured, subpar surf. The occasional hurricane swell can deliver XXL waves, but only for the brave and experienced – and only if the wind cooperates.

February: Consistent Long-Period Pulse

February holds steady with 1.2m swell and 13.5s periods. Ideal wind drops slightly to 46%, but still very good. Swell composition shifts: SW dominates at 43.6%, with SSW at 11.1% and WSW at 33.3%. This is classic Troncones – a mix of SW and WSW groundswell. Winds remain predominantly offshore (N, NNE) but with a bit more strength in the SW-WSW quadrant compared to January. The ocean is still very surfable, with long, lined-up sets. Perfect for logging or a performance shortboard.