Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Tywyn seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Atlantic delivers its fiercest storms during these months, pumping consistent, powerful SW to WNW swell into Tywyn's west-south-west facing beach. Average wave heights hover around 1.0-1.1m with periods frequently in the 8-9 second range, offering punchy, rideable surf. However, the dominant wind direction is also from the SW to W, blowing directly onshore a majority of the time. The key to unlocking the best waves lies in high-pressure systems over Scandinavia or a negative NAO pattern, which can set up crisp offshore winds from the E to NE quadrant. When that rare alignment occurs, you get clean, long-period swell wrapping in – that's when Tywyn truly fires. The ideal wind percentage maxes out at around 12%, so patience and a keen eye on the forecast are essential.

Fair Surf Season (April - May & September)

As the North Atlantic storm track begins to shift northward in spring, swell heights drop to an average of 0.6-0.7m with periods shortening to the 6-8 second range. The surf becomes smaller and more inconsistent, but the reduced swell often coincides with lighter winds. April and May see an increase in E to NE winds (offshore) but also a higher frequency of light onshores. September marks the transition back toward winter, with a slight uptick in swell size and period (0.7m, 6.8s) and a similar ideal wind window of around 6%. These months offer occasional fun, groveling sessions when a late-season or early-season low sends a clean swell and the wind plays ball. Expect mostly small to fun-sized waves with some punchy sets on the better days.

Low Surf Season (June - August)

Summer is the most challenging time for surf at Tywyn. The North Atlantic storm track retreats far north, and the prevailing wind shifts to a persistent onshore flow from the SW and W. Average swell heights bottom out at just 0.5m with periods as low as 6.0 seconds, resulting in mostly choppy, weak, and messy conditions. The ideal wind percentage plummets to a mere 2-3%, meaning offshore winds are exceptionally rare. While the occasional distant storm can send a small, long-period pulse, the combination of small swell and mostly onshore wind makes for a long stretch of poor surf. This is a good time to focus on other activities or travel to more exposed spots with summer trades, but when the stars align and a rare easterly breeze meets a modest SW groundswell, you can still find a few small, clean waves at dawn.

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Conditions at Tywyn in January

January: The Peak of Winter Grind

January stands as one of the most consistent months for swell at Tywyn, with an average height of 1.1m and period of 8.5s. The North Atlantic is in full fury, generating powerful SW to WSW swell that dominates the waverose—over 60% of the total swell energy comes from these two directions. The average period sits in the 'average, punchy' range, offering plenty of rideable waves. However, the wind is predominantly from the SW and WSW, blowing directly onshore as well. Combined with strong SW winds (over 20% of winds are from SW-WSW at 20-40 kph), the surf is often choppy and blown out. The ideal offshore wind (E to NE) only occurs about 11% of the time, typically when high pressure sets up over Scandinavia. During those windows, expect clean, powerful waves in the 1-2.5m range that can be truly pumping. A negative NAO can lock in these easterly flows for days, providing the best conditions of the entire winter.

Average Spot conditions at Tywyn in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Tywyn during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Tywyn for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Tywyn for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Tywyn.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size