Conditions at Tocones in January
January: The Trade-Wind Winter Slop
January is a month of cruel potential in the North Atlantic. Tocones sees an average wave height near 3ft (0.9m) and a period of 6.2s, which is the high end of the local year and hints at slightly more organized swell. However, the wave rose is dominated by E swell at 49% and ESE swell at 40%, while N-NNW energy remains essentially absent. Nearly a third of the readings fall into the 3-5ft (1-1.5m) class, so there is size lurking, but with only 26% favorable wind and strong E/ENE cross-shore flow about 58% of the time, the surface tends to be lumpy. Water temperature is 26.6°C, air temperature averages 24.9°C, and precipitation is a relatively modest 2.36 mm/day. Unless the NAO sets up a storm track that delivers a true N-NNW groundswell, January is more about patience than perfection.
Average Spot conditions at Tocones in January
Swell history for January
Wind history for January
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Tocones during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Tocones for your next trip in January.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Tocones for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Tocones.