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Tocones • Statistics for October

Conditions at Tocones in October

October: Autumn Cleanup

October is the autumn version of May. Favorable winds sit at 42%, the third-highest of the year, and average swell drops to 2.3ft (0.7m) with a 5.9s period. The swell distribution is led by ESE at 51%, E at 32%, and SE at 12%, and it is firmly a 1.5-3ft (0.5-1m) month; only about 8% of waves reach 3-5ft (1-1.5m). Water temperature remains warm at 29.1°C, air temperature averages 27.4°C, and precipitation is 5.29 mm/day. The north-facing beach still lacks the N-NNW groundswell it truly loves, but the cleaner surface conditions make those small windows fun for grovelers and longboards.

Average Spot conditions at Tocones in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Tocones during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Tocones for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Tocones for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Tocones.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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