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Express Point • Statistics for February

Conditions at Express Point in February

February: Warm Water, Waiting Game

February remains locked in the Australian summer pattern. The average swell height holds at 4.6ft (1.4m), while the average period ticks up slightly to 11.5s. Swell direction is again dominated by the S/SSW/SW quadrant: SW at 51 percent, SSW at 23 percent, S at 6 percent and SSE at 5 percent. Most surf will roll in at 3-5ft (1-1.5m), with a healthy 5-6.5ft (1.5-2m) component in SW groundswell pulses. The data show ideal wind only 18 percent of the time, and the wind rose is heavy with SSE through WSW flow - exactly the onshore directions that wreck Express Point's shape. Combined onshore and cross-onshore winds from S, SSW, SW and WSW account for a big slice of the month, so surface conditions deteriorate quickly after lunch. Water temperature peaks around 19.2°C; the trade-off is small, bumpy waves, with the occasional dawn patrol scoring clean, warm chest-to-head-high sets.

Average Spot conditions at Express Point in February

Swell history for February

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for February

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Express Point during February. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Express Point for your next trip in February.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Express Point for February. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Express Point.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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