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Express Point • Statistics for October

Conditions at Express Point in October

October: Solid Swell, Shifting Winds

October is the tail end of the prime window, with conditions still capable of excellence but less consistent. Average height is 5.2ft (1.6m), average period 12.3s, and ideal wind 21 percent. Swell direction is firmly SW-dominated at 53 percent, with WSW at 16 percent and SSW at 11 percent - a lovely groundswell mix for this spot. The 3-5ft (1-1.5m) class is the most common, but 5-6.5ft (1.5-2m) and 6.5-8ft (2-2.5m) percentages remain significant. The transition toward summer shows up in the wind: WSW at 11.5 percent and SW at 10.4 percent are the top directions, while NNW drops to 9.2 percent. You will need to chase the offshore windows. Water temperature is starting to warm at 14.0°C and spring air temperatures are pleasant; it's a high-quality shoulder month.

Average Spot conditions at Express Point in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Express Point during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Express Point for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Express Point for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Express Point.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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