Conditions at Point Leo in May
May: Winter Rhythm Sets In
May sees winter establish a firm grip on the Mornington Peninsula. The average swell is 1.5m (4.9ft), but the period stretches to 12.6s, giving the waves extra depth and push. While SW remains the primary swell direction at 43.9%, WSW energy grows significantly to 17.9%, and SSW contributes 11.3%. This broadening of swell angles brings a stronger westerly component, which can wrap into the break with more consistency. Wave heights are split between fun-sized 3-5ft (1-1.5m) and more substantial 5-6.5ft (1.5-2m) peaks, particularly from SW and WSW. The game-changer is the wind: ideal offshore conditions blow 24% of the time, with NNW leading the way at 18.2%, followed by NNW, NW (7.9%), and WNW (8.3%). This is the first month where offshore winds are a regular occurrence rather than a rare morning gift. Water temp drops to 15.4°C, air temp averages 14.1°C, and precipitation rises to 2.13 mm/day. May delivers clean, powerful waves with a much higher chance of groomed conditions - a high-quality month for Point Leo.
Average Spot conditions at Point Leo in May
Swell history for May
Wind history for May
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Point Leo during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Point Leo for your next trip in May.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Point Leo for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Point Leo.