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Cave Rock • Statistics for May

Conditions at Cave Rock in May

May: Winter's First Surge

May is when the Southern Ocean engine fully kicks into gear. The average swell height remains steady at 1.7m (5.6ft), but the average period stretches to 10.4s - a strong mid-period groundswell signal. The wind stats are the big story: ideal offshore flow jumps to an excellent 49% of the time. The wind rose shows a dramatic increase in N-NW flow, with NNW at 10.5%, NW at 4.6%, WNW at 3.8%, and W at 3.2%. A corresponding drop in NE winds (now 13.5%) means fewer onshore days. The swell direction shifts to the south and southeast: S now dominates with 21.9%, SSE 19.0%, and SE 15.6%, while the pure E component fades to 15.2%. The 1.5-2m and 2-2.5m bands are packed with energy, especially from the S and SSE sectors. Water temp is a crisp 23.7°C, air 22.2°C, and rainfall falls to a dry 1.33mm/day. This is when Cave Rock starts to look like a proper winter wave - clean walls, consistent overhead sets, and offshore breeze grooming every face.

Average Spot conditions at Cave Rock in May

Swell history for May

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for May

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Cave Rock during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Cave Rock for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Cave Rock for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Cave Rock.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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