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Bogan River - surf spot statistics
Bogan River seasonal overview
Best Surf Season (March - May)
Autumn delivers the sweet spot at Bogan River. As the Southern Ocean cranks up its storm machine, average swell heights climb to a solid 1.6–1.9m with long-period energy (12.8–13.0s) that really wraps into this WSW-facing beach. The wind gods also play nice, with offshore breezes from the NE to ESE quadrant blowing 26–28% of the time. This combo means more clean, rippable walls and fewer blown-out messes. March through May is when you want to book your trip.
Fair Surf Season (June - August)
Winter keeps the size pumping at 1.9m, but the trade-off is a drop in ideal wind percentages to 20–23%. The prevailing SW swell continues to pour in, but onshore winds from the W and SW become more frequent, especially during frontal passages. When a high-pressure system parks over the Tasman Sea, it can deliver those coveted offshore conditions – just be ready to work around the lows. The waves retain their power and period (12.7–13.0s), so when the window opens, it fires.
Low Surf Season (September - February)
Spring and summer bring a mixed bag. Swell heights gradually drop from 1.9m in September to 1.4m in January, and the ideal wind percentage bottoms out at 15–19% in late spring. September through November still have size but are plagued by onshore SW winds, making it hard to find clean conditions. December through February sees smaller surf (1.4–1.5m) with shorter periods (11.7–12.0s), though the offshore wind window opens a bit more in February (27% ideal). If you're after fun-sized waves without the crowd, early summer can offer sneaky fun, but don't expect the consistent quality of autumn.
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Conditions at Bogan River in July
July: Dark Winter, Pulsing Swell
July maintains the 1.9m average with a period of 12.8s. Swell composition is similar to June: SW (34.8%), WSW (24.0%), and a notable increase in W (10.8%). The ideal wind percentage again sits at 23%, with offshore flow mostly from NNE to ENE. When a deep low spins up in the Southern Ocean, it sends powerful groundswell that can easily exceed 2.5m. The onshore wind fraction is high, but the rare alignment of a SW swell with a NE breeze creates some of the best waves of the winter – think long, racy rights. Patience is key; most days will be lumpy, but the gems are worth it.
Average Spot conditions at Bogan River in July
Swell history for July
Wind history for July
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Bogan River during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Bogan River for your next trip in July.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Bogan River for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Bogan River.