Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Bogan River seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (March - May)

Autumn delivers the sweet spot at Bogan River. As the Southern Ocean cranks up its storm machine, average swell heights climb to a solid 1.6–1.9m with long-period energy (12.8–13.0s) that really wraps into this WSW-facing beach. The wind gods also play nice, with offshore breezes from the NE to ESE quadrant blowing 26–28% of the time. This combo means more clean, rippable walls and fewer blown-out messes. March through May is when you want to book your trip.

Fair Surf Season (June - August)

Winter keeps the size pumping at 1.9m, but the trade-off is a drop in ideal wind percentages to 20–23%. The prevailing SW swell continues to pour in, but onshore winds from the W and SW become more frequent, especially during frontal passages. When a high-pressure system parks over the Tasman Sea, it can deliver those coveted offshore conditions – just be ready to work around the lows. The waves retain their power and period (12.7–13.0s), so when the window opens, it fires.

Low Surf Season (September - February)

Spring and summer bring a mixed bag. Swell heights gradually drop from 1.9m in September to 1.4m in January, and the ideal wind percentage bottoms out at 15–19% in late spring. September through November still have size but are plagued by onshore SW winds, making it hard to find clean conditions. December through February sees smaller surf (1.4–1.5m) with shorter periods (11.7–12.0s), though the offshore wind window opens a bit more in February (27% ideal). If you're after fun-sized waves without the crowd, early summer can offer sneaky fun, but don't expect the consistent quality of autumn.

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Conditions at Bogan River in May

May: Winter Swell Ramps Up

May sees the swell height peak at 1.9m with an average period of 12.9s. The dominant SW direction accounts for 43.3% of the swell, but WSW (22.9%) and W (7.0%) gain more share as winter storms strengthen. The height distribution shows a healthy spread: 14.5% of SW swell in the 1–1.5m range, 14.1% at 1.5–2m, and 8.7% at 2–2.5m. That's a lot of powerful surf. However, ideal wind drops to 26% as onshore SW and WSW winds increase. The key is timing the highs – often a passing ridge brings offshore NE flow overnight, cleaning up the swell for morning sessions. Bigger days can see XL waves over 2.5m.

Average Spot conditions at Bogan River in May

Swell history for May

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for May

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Bogan River during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Bogan River for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Bogan River for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Bogan River.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size