Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Cap Gris-Nez seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Atlantic roars to life during these months, with a marked increase in the frequency and intensity of extratropical cyclones tracking across the northern latitudes. This climatological uptick drives a greater proportion of swell from the N, NNW, and NW quadrants – exactly what this north-facing beach requires. Average swell heights hover around 0.8-1.0m, with periodic pulses of stronger, longer-period energy (10s+) that can turn the lineup into a punchy, hollow playground. Offshore winds from the S to SW sector occur roughly 6-8% of the time, often in the wake of passing fronts, creating clean, glassy conditions. While onshore N-NW winds can spoil sessions, the winter pattern delivers the most consistent combination of optimal swell direction and light offshore flow – especially when a high-pressure system settles over the Bay of Biscay.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

Transitional months bring a mixed bag. April sees a drop in average swell height to 0.7m and the dominant swell direction shifts towards the NNE and NE, which are still workable but less direct. The percentage of ideal wind conditions remains low (5-6%), and the period average stays around 5.2s – mostly short-period, locally generated chop. September shows a slight uptick in swell from the NW and NNW as autumn lows begin to form, but the overall energy is still moderate. You'll find occasional fun-sized waves if you time it right, but consistency is lacking.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

Summer settles over the English Channel and the surf flatlines. Average swell heights bottom out at 0.5-0.6m, with periods barely exceeding 5s – think micro to groveling conditions. The swell direction is dominated by the SW and WSW, which wrap in poorly to this north-facing coast, if at all. Onshore N-NE winds blow frequently, adding chop and closing out what little wave energy exists. The ideal offshore wind window (SO, S, SSW, SW) is narrow and often overrun by sea breezes or weak synoptic patterns. Unless you're desperate for a paddle, it's a write-off.

Loading chart...

Conditions at Cap Gris-Nez in July

July: The Dead of Summer

Rock bottom: average swell height 0.5m, period 4.8s. The swell rose is dominated by SW (29.9%) and WSW (14.5%) – which, interestingly, are offshore directions for Cap Gris-Nez. But the energy is pathetic. Over 80% of the SW swell is under 0.5m, so you're looking at flat, bumpy conditions. The NNE (11.4%) and NE (14.1%) components are mostly below 0.5m as well. Wind statistics show WSW (25.9%) and SW (17.4%) as leading directions – both offshore – but speeds are often light to moderate. This means you could have a clean, glassy ocean, but with no swell to surf. Ideal wind percentage is 5%, essentially irrelevant. Enjoy the beach, the windsurfing or kitesurfing – the surf is a no-go.

Average Spot conditions at Cap Gris-Nez in July

Swell history for July

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for July

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Cap Gris-Nez during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Cap Gris-Nez for your next trip in July.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Cap Gris-Nez for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Cap Gris-Nez.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size