Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Cap Gris-Nez seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Atlantic roars to life during these months, with a marked increase in the frequency and intensity of extratropical cyclones tracking across the northern latitudes. This climatological uptick drives a greater proportion of swell from the N, NNW, and NW quadrants – exactly what this north-facing beach requires. Average swell heights hover around 0.8-1.0m, with periodic pulses of stronger, longer-period energy (10s+) that can turn the lineup into a punchy, hollow playground. Offshore winds from the S to SW sector occur roughly 6-8% of the time, often in the wake of passing fronts, creating clean, glassy conditions. While onshore N-NW winds can spoil sessions, the winter pattern delivers the most consistent combination of optimal swell direction and light offshore flow – especially when a high-pressure system settles over the Bay of Biscay.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

Transitional months bring a mixed bag. April sees a drop in average swell height to 0.7m and the dominant swell direction shifts towards the NNE and NE, which are still workable but less direct. The percentage of ideal wind conditions remains low (5-6%), and the period average stays around 5.2s – mostly short-period, locally generated chop. September shows a slight uptick in swell from the NW and NNW as autumn lows begin to form, but the overall energy is still moderate. You'll find occasional fun-sized waves if you time it right, but consistency is lacking.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

Summer settles over the English Channel and the surf flatlines. Average swell heights bottom out at 0.5-0.6m, with periods barely exceeding 5s – think micro to groveling conditions. The swell direction is dominated by the SW and WSW, which wrap in poorly to this north-facing coast, if at all. Onshore N-NE winds blow frequently, adding chop and closing out what little wave energy exists. The ideal offshore wind window (SO, S, SSW, SW) is narrow and often overrun by sea breezes or weak synoptic patterns. Unless you're desperate for a paddle, it's a write-off.

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Conditions at Cap Gris-Nez in June

June: Summer Lull in Full Effect

Swell averages 0.6m again, period drops to 5.0s. The swell direction charts are a desert of small SW (24.6%) and NNE (18.0%) waves – over 75% of all swells are below 0.5m. The N, NNW, NW, and NNO quadrants that would produce quality waves account for a mere 13% combined, and most of that is junk. Wind: WSW (20.9%) and SW (15.9%) are the top directions, bringing onshore flow from the south-west? Wait – WSW and SW are actually offshore for this spot (optimal wind from SO, S, SSW, SW). But careful: SW is offshore, but the table shows SW wind at 15.9% – good. However, the speeds are often moderate (20-40kph). The real problem is lack of swell. Ideal wind % stays at 5%. You can find clean, glassy mornings if a SW wind blows, but the waves will be tiny. Go fishing instead.

Average Spot conditions at Cap Gris-Nez in June

Swell history for June

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for June

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Cap Gris-Nez during June. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Cap Gris-Nez for your next trip in June.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Cap Gris-Nez for June. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Cap Gris-Nez.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size