Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Cap Gris-Nez seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Atlantic roars to life during these months, with a marked increase in the frequency and intensity of extratropical cyclones tracking across the northern latitudes. This climatological uptick drives a greater proportion of swell from the N, NNW, and NW quadrants – exactly what this north-facing beach requires. Average swell heights hover around 0.8-1.0m, with periodic pulses of stronger, longer-period energy (10s+) that can turn the lineup into a punchy, hollow playground. Offshore winds from the S to SW sector occur roughly 6-8% of the time, often in the wake of passing fronts, creating clean, glassy conditions. While onshore N-NW winds can spoil sessions, the winter pattern delivers the most consistent combination of optimal swell direction and light offshore flow – especially when a high-pressure system settles over the Bay of Biscay.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

Transitional months bring a mixed bag. April sees a drop in average swell height to 0.7m and the dominant swell direction shifts towards the NNE and NE, which are still workable but less direct. The percentage of ideal wind conditions remains low (5-6%), and the period average stays around 5.2s – mostly short-period, locally generated chop. September shows a slight uptick in swell from the NW and NNW as autumn lows begin to form, but the overall energy is still moderate. You'll find occasional fun-sized waves if you time it right, but consistency is lacking.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

Summer settles over the English Channel and the surf flatlines. Average swell heights bottom out at 0.5-0.6m, with periods barely exceeding 5s – think micro to groveling conditions. The swell direction is dominated by the SW and WSW, which wrap in poorly to this north-facing coast, if at all. Onshore N-NE winds blow frequently, adding chop and closing out what little wave energy exists. The ideal offshore wind window (SO, S, SSW, SW) is narrow and often overrun by sea breezes or weak synoptic patterns. Unless you're desperate for a paddle, it's a write-off.

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Conditions at Cap Gris-Nez in May

May: Fading Hopes of Winter Swell

Average swell height falls to 0.6m, period 5.1s. The swell rose shows a massive domination of NE (22.5%) and NNE (19.2%), but these are primarily low-energy windswell from the Channel. Combined, they make up over 40% of the wave directions – yet 82% of that is under 0.5m. The SW contribution (19.8%) is mostly in the same small category. So the vast majority of the time you're looking at micro to small conditions. Wind patterns are less favorable: NNE (13.2%), NE (13.5%), and WSW (15.1%) dominate. Offshore winds from the south are limited (S: 3.3%, SSW: 6.0%). Ideal wind sits at 5%. Unless there's an unusual spring low giving a NW groundswell, keep the surfboard in the car and enjoy the cliffs.

Average Spot conditions at Cap Gris-Nez in May

Swell history for May

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for May

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Cap Gris-Nez during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Cap Gris-Nez for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Cap Gris-Nez for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Cap Gris-Nez.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size