Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Ibaraki seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (November - March)

The winter months bring the northwest monsoon, driving cold, dry air over the Sea of Japan and generating powerful low-pressure systems that swing across the northern Pacific. For Ibaraki, this translates into a consistent diet of mid-period to long-period swell from the northeast through east-northeast, averaging 1.6-1.8m with periods around 9.5-10s. The win-win comes from the accompanying offshore winds: strong northwesterlies and west-northwesterlies (SW to WNW) funnel between high pressure over Siberia and low pressure east of Japan, keeping the wave faces groomed and glassy. This is the prime window, with ideal wind conditions blowing 20-30% of the time and swell big enough to light up the points and reefs.

Fair Surf Season (April - May & October)

Spring marks the transition away from the winter storm track. Swell heights drop slightly to 1.4-1.6m and periods shorten to the 8-9s range, as the Aleutian Low weakens and the Pacific high begins to build. Dominant swell direction shifts from north-east to east and east-southeast, still hitting the spot's open ENE exposure. Offshore wind windows become more sporadic (23-26% ideal) as the Siberian high retreats and local land/sea breezes take over. October offers a unique silver lining: the start of the typhoon season. Although the average swell height ticks up to 1.7m from departing cyclones, the wind statistics show only 17% ideal conditions - those perfect post-typhoon glassy days are fleeting but can deliver overhead, long-period gems when the pieces fall into place.

Low Surf Season (June - September)

Summer is dominated by the Pacific subtropical ridge, which pumps consistent but weak trade-wind swell from the east-northeast through southeast. Wave heights sit in the 1.2-1.4m range with periods rarely exceeding 9s, producing fun-sized but often bumpy surf. The wind picture is a mixed bag: while the statistical ideal wind percentage ranges from 24-30%, the prevailing south-southwesterlies and southwesterlies (part of the summer monsoon) are not directly offshore for Ibaraki's ENE-facing coast. These cross-shore breezes frequently chop up the surface, especially when the swell is small. July and August see the most consistent summer peaks, but expect grovelly conditions unless a stray tropical storm tracks close enough to pulse the average up. September can show a spike in swell height (1.6m) as the first autumn cold fronts arrive, but the associated wind shift often brings onshore northeasterlies (only 17% ideal wind), making it a frustrating tease.

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Conditions at Ibaraki in December

December: Peak Season is Here

December delivers the highest ideal wind percentage of the year at 31%, combined with a solid 1.6m average swell and period of 9.8s. The swell direction is dominated by NE (18.2%), NNE (14.4%), and ENE (12.1%), with a good spread of north-northwest (8.2%) and N (5.6%) that also contribute. These swells are generated by the strengthening winter storm track across the Sea of Japan and the Pacific. Offshore winds from the northwesterly quadrant (WNW 11.3%, NW 11.4%, NNW 10.7%) set up perfect conditions: glassy faces, power, and consistency. The average period of 9.8s means plenty of sets in the 1.5-2.5m range. December is arguably the most reliable month for Ibaraki, with long windows of world-class surf - just bring your thickest wetsuit and warmest spirit.

Average Spot conditions at Ibaraki in December

Swell history for December

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for December

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Ibaraki during December. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Ibaraki for your next trip in December.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Ibaraki for December. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Ibaraki.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size