Manzanillo seasonal overview
Manzanillo, Nicaragua, benefits from consistent ground swells year-round, rarely experiencing flat days (0% no swell). The best months for surfers are typically from March to October, when ground swell dominates (90–98%) and wind conditions gradually improve. March through June offers reliable 1.2–1.4m swells with slightly better wind percentages (21–31% good), though onshore winds remain a challenge (69–79% bad). Late-season months like September and October stand out, combining strong ground swells (93%) with the year’s best wind conditions (33–36% good). July and August see slightly larger swells (1.4m) but suffer from inconsistent winds (20–25% good). Winter months (November–February) are less ideal due to higher bad wind frequencies (70–85%), despite decent swell size (1.2m). For advanced surfers prioritizing clean conditions, September and October are the prime window—expect manageable winds and consistent, mid-sized swells. However, expect year-round wind volatility, making dawn patrol or sheltered sections the best bet.
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Conditions at Manzanillo in January
January in Manzanillo offers consistent surf conditions with an average swell height of 1.2m and a solid 11.7s period, indicating powerful, well-formed waves. The most dominant swell directions are SW (29.68%) and SSW (18.79%) in the 1-1.5m range, contributing to reliable, rideable waves. While ENE winds prevail (26.88% at 30-40kph), creating cross-shore to slightly onshore conditions, about 15% of the time the wind is ideal—typically lighter or offshore. Expect a mix of waist- to head-high waves, with occasional larger sets. The strong NE/ENE winds can disrupt conditions, but when winds ease, the spot delivers clean, punchy waves suitable for intermediate to advanced surfers. Patience with wind shifts is key for scoring the best sessions.
Average Spot conditions at Manzanillo in January
Swell history for January
Wind history for January
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Manzanillo during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Manzanillo for your next trip in January.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Manzanillo for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Manzanillo.
