Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Manzanillo seasonal overview

Manzanillo, Nicaragua, benefits from consistent ground swells year-round, rarely experiencing flat days (0% no swell). The best months for surfers are typically from March to October, when ground swell dominates (90–98%) and wind conditions gradually improve. March through June offers reliable 1.2–1.4m swells with slightly better wind percentages (21–31% good), though onshore winds remain a challenge (69–79% bad). Late-season months like September and October stand out, combining strong ground swells (93%) with the year’s best wind conditions (33–36% good). July and August see slightly larger swells (1.4m) but suffer from inconsistent winds (20–25% good). Winter months (November–February) are less ideal due to higher bad wind frequencies (70–85%), despite decent swell size (1.2m). For advanced surfers prioritizing clean conditions, September and October are the prime window—expect manageable winds and consistent, mid-sized swells. However, expect year-round wind volatility, making dawn patrol or sheltered sections the best bet.

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Conditions at Manzanillo in July

July in Manzanillo, Nicaragua, offers consistent surf with an average swell height of 1.4m and a long-period groundswell averaging 14.3s, ensuring quality, well-spaced waves. The swell is predominantly from the SW and SSW directions (70-80% of the time), with the majority of waves in the 1-2.5m range—ideal for intermediate to advanced surfers. The most frequent wave heights are 1-1.5m (36%) and 1.5-2m (14%), providing punchy but manageable conditions. Wind is the limiting factor: ENE trade winds (20-30kph) dominate 22% of the time, creating choppy onshore conditions, but 20% of days see lighter winds (10-20kph) from the SW or SSW, offering clean(er) conditions. Expect textured surfaces most mornings with potential for afternoon windswell interference. For best sessions, watch for SW/SSW wind days—these align best with the dominant swell for offshore grooming. A solid bet for consistent, mid-sized surf, though patience with wind is key.

Average Spot conditions at Manzanillo in July

Swell history for July

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for July

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Manzanillo during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Manzanillo for your next trip in July.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Manzanillo for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Manzanillo.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size