Manzanillo seasonal overview
Manzanillo, Nicaragua, benefits from consistent ground swells year-round, rarely experiencing flat days (0% no swell). The best months for surfers are typically from March to October, when ground swell dominates (90–98%) and wind conditions gradually improve. March through June offers reliable 1.2–1.4m swells with slightly better wind percentages (21–31% good), though onshore winds remain a challenge (69–79% bad). Late-season months like September and October stand out, combining strong ground swells (93%) with the year’s best wind conditions (33–36% good). July and August see slightly larger swells (1.4m) but suffer from inconsistent winds (20–25% good). Winter months (November–February) are less ideal due to higher bad wind frequencies (70–85%), despite decent swell size (1.2m). For advanced surfers prioritizing clean conditions, September and October are the prime window—expect manageable winds and consistent, mid-sized swells. However, expect year-round wind volatility, making dawn patrol or sheltered sections the best bet.
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Conditions at Manzanillo in March
March in Manzanillo delivers consistent surf with a solid average swell height of 1.2m and a quality 13.5s period, providing well-spaced, powerful waves. The primary swell direction is from the SW to SSW, accounting for roughly 60% of all waves, with SW swells dominating (29.99% of waves in the 1-1.5m range). These swells often produce clean, rideable conditions, especially when paired with the 21% chance of ideal offshore winds. Wind patterns are mixed—ENE winds (20-40kph) are prevalent, which can create chop, but lighter winds from the W/SW occasionally clean things up. Expect the best sessions when SW swells align with lighter winds, offering shoulder-high waves with good shape. While strong ENE winds can disrupt conditions, March still provides reliable surf with enough good days for advanced riders to score quality waves.
Average Spot conditions at Manzanillo in March
Swell history for March
Wind history for March
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Manzanillo during March. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Manzanillo for your next trip in March.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Manzanillo for March. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Manzanillo.
