Manzanillo seasonal overview
Manzanillo, Nicaragua, benefits from consistent ground swells year-round, rarely experiencing flat days (0% no swell). The best months for surfers are typically from March to October, when ground swell dominates (90–98%) and wind conditions gradually improve. March through June offers reliable 1.2–1.4m swells with slightly better wind percentages (21–31% good), though onshore winds remain a challenge (69–79% bad). Late-season months like September and October stand out, combining strong ground swells (93%) with the year’s best wind conditions (33–36% good). July and August see slightly larger swells (1.4m) but suffer from inconsistent winds (20–25% good). Winter months (November–February) are less ideal due to higher bad wind frequencies (70–85%), despite decent swell size (1.2m). For advanced surfers prioritizing clean conditions, September and October are the prime window—expect manageable winds and consistent, mid-sized swells. However, expect year-round wind volatility, making dawn patrol or sheltered sections the best bet.
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Conditions at Manzanillo in May
May in Manzanillo, Nicaragua offers consistent surf conditions with an average swell height of 1.3m and a long-period swell averaging 14.8s, indicating well-formed, powerful waves. The swell distribution is highly favorable, primarily arriving from the SSW (38%) and SW (58%), with the majority of waves in the 1-2.5m range—ideal for intermediate to advanced surfers. Wind conditions are less reliable, with only 28% of the time providing ideal offshore or light winds, primarily from the ENE to NE, though stronger onshore winds (20-30kph) are frequent, especially from the ENE (24%). Expect a mix of clean and choppy sessions, with the best waves occurring when winds are lighter or aligned offshore. Overall, May is a solid month for surfing in Manzanillo, with consistent swell but variable winds requiring patience to score optimal conditions.
Average Spot conditions at Manzanillo in May
Swell history for May
Wind history for May
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Manzanillo during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Manzanillo for your next trip in May.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Manzanillo for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Manzanillo.
