Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Maroubra seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (May - August)

As the Southern Hemisphere winter sets in, Maroubra comes alive with consistent, quality surf. From May through August, the Tasman Sea pumps out a steady stream of long-period groundswell from the E-SE quadrant, wrapping nicely into the east-facing beach. Offshore winds from the W to NW dominate, with ideal wind conditions occurring over 37-41% of the time. This is when the sandbars hold their shape best and the sets are both powerful and clean. Expect average wave heights around 1.6-1.8m and periods often exceeding 9.5s, making for punchy, rippable waves.

Fair Surf Season (March - April & September - October)

The transition months shoulder the seasons and offer a mixed bag. March and April see the start of the autumn pattern with longer period swell from the S and SSE, while offshore winds still blow over 20-31% of the time. September and October experience a gradual warming and weakening of the winter wind regime, but the ocean still holds plenty of Southern Ocean energy. Expect average wave heights around 1.6-1.7m with periods in the 9-9.4s range. The key is to pick your days when a clean westerly lines up with a solid SE groundswell.

Low Surf Season (November - February)

Summer in Sydney brings lighter, more variable winds and a noticeable drop in consistency. From November through February, the offshore wind windows shrink to just 12-18%, with frequent seabreezes from the NE and E turning the waves bumpy. The swell mix shifts toward shorter-period E and NE windswell, averaging 1.5-1.6m and periods around 8.3-8.8s. While it’s not firing, early mornings can still deliver fun, groveling waves before the onshores kick in. For the best chance of a clean session, target a south swell with a westerly breeze – but be ready for crowded banks.

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Conditions at Maroubra in July

July: Consistent Winter Gold

July maintains the winter momentum with the highest offshore wind percentage of the year at 41%. Average wave height dips slightly to 1.7m, but the period remains a strong 9.5s. The swell mix continues to be dominated by SSE (16.9%), S (15%), and SE (11.3%), with an increase in SSW (7.1%) and SW (4.1%) swells – a sign that more southerly tracks are in play. The wind rose is a thing of beauty: WSW (12.9%), W (11.8%), WNW (10.1%), and NW (10.2%) combine for massive amounts of offshore flow. Expect multiple days of clean, lined-up sets, with the occasional 2.5m+ pulse from a deep storm south of Tasmania. The water is cold, but the waves are worth it. July is a consistent, reliable month for any surfer chasing quality.

Average Spot conditions at Maroubra in July

Swell history for July

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for July

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Maroubra during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Maroubra for your next trip in July.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Maroubra for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Maroubra.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size