Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

San Juan seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (May & September - October)

During these months, the percentage of offshore or light wind conditions peaks, offering the cleanest surfaces despite the small easterly swell. The average wave height hovers around 0.7-0.8m with periods of 5.9-6.1s, making for fun, groveling conditions on log-style equipment. Although the swell direction remains unfavorably from the east, the lighter winds allow for a decent rideable wave, especially at mid-tide.

Fair Surf Season (November - April)

Winter and early spring bring slightly larger average swell heights (0.8-0.9m) thanks to distant North Atlantic storms, but the dominant easterly wind regime often kicks up onshore chop. Only about 20-25% of the time do we get favorable winds, making it a gamble. The infrequent cold front passage can deliver a brief window of north-northwest swell and southerly offshore winds, but those days are rare and require careful timing.

Low Surf Season (June - August)

Summer sees the strongest easterly trade winds, blowing directly onshore and creating bumpy, messy conditions. Swell remains small (0.8-0.9m) and dominated by short-period easterly energy. With ideal wind percentages dropping to 18-22% in July and August, this is the slowest period for quality surf. June offers a slight uptick in favorable wind, but overall it's a time for small waves and wind protection strategies.

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Conditions at San Juan in May

May: Peak Wind Quality, Minimal Swell

May achieves the highest ideal wind percentage of the year at 40%, making it the most consistent month for clean, glassy conditions. The average swell remains 0.8m and period 6.0s, with swell directions so heavily dominated by ESE (64.2%) and E (20.1%) that other directions are negligible. Over 70% of wave heights fall in the 0.5-1m range. Winds are lighter overall, with a notable reduction in 20-30kph gusts. The increase in S/SSW/SW winds is still modest (combined 1.6%) but the overall lighter wind regime means more grooming of the small easterly swell. May offers the best chance for fun, clean ankle-to-knee high waves, but don't expect any power or size.

Average Spot conditions at San Juan in May

Swell history for May

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for May

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at San Juan during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at San Juan for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at San Juan for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at San Juan.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size