Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

San Juan seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (May & September - October)

During these months, the percentage of offshore or light wind conditions peaks, offering the cleanest surfaces despite the small easterly swell. The average wave height hovers around 0.7-0.8m with periods of 5.9-6.1s, making for fun, groveling conditions on log-style equipment. Although the swell direction remains unfavorably from the east, the lighter winds allow for a decent rideable wave, especially at mid-tide.

Fair Surf Season (November - April)

Winter and early spring bring slightly larger average swell heights (0.8-0.9m) thanks to distant North Atlantic storms, but the dominant easterly wind regime often kicks up onshore chop. Only about 20-25% of the time do we get favorable winds, making it a gamble. The infrequent cold front passage can deliver a brief window of north-northwest swell and southerly offshore winds, but those days are rare and require careful timing.

Low Surf Season (June - August)

Summer sees the strongest easterly trade winds, blowing directly onshore and creating bumpy, messy conditions. Swell remains small (0.8-0.9m) and dominated by short-period easterly energy. With ideal wind percentages dropping to 18-22% in July and August, this is the slowest period for quality surf. June offers a slight uptick in favorable wind, but overall it's a time for small waves and wind protection strategies.

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Conditions at San Juan in October

October: Best Wind Window of the Fall

October achieves a favorable ideal wind percentage of 37%, second only to May. The average swell is the smallest of the year at 0.7m with a period of 5.9s. Swell direction is again dominated by ESE (50.5%) and E (31.6%), with a notable increase in SE (12.1%) and even a few percent from S/SSW/SW (combined 1.6%): these southerly swells are still tiny but can produce weak waves. Wind becomes lighter across the board: the strong 20-30kph easterlies diminish. The increase in S/SSW/SW winds (combined 2.7% in wind) is still modest but enough to occasionally deliver clean offshore conditions. October is a good month for longboarders and fun-seeking surfers who don't mind small, clean waves.

Average Spot conditions at San Juan in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at San Juan during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at San Juan for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at San Juan for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at San Juan.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size