Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Sao Conrado seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (May - August)

During the Southern Hemisphere winter, Sao Conrado comes alive with consistent, long-period swell from the South Atlantic. The combination of strong extratropical storms roaring through the 'Roaring Forties' sends powerful S and SSE groundswells up the coast, producing average wave heights of 1.4 to 1.5m with periods exceeding 10 seconds. Coupled with the highest percentages of offshore wind from the north quadrant (often over 50% ideal conditions), this is when the beach truly fires. Expect clean, powerful lines wrapping into the bay, offering rippable walls and occasional pumping sets.

Fair Surf Season (March - April, September - October)

The shoulder seasons offer a mixed bag. As the seasons transition, the South Atlantic low-pressure tracks become less consistent. March and April still see decent swell, often with longer periods (10+ seconds), but the wind quality becomes more variable with an increase in easterly trade winds. September and October show a decline in ideal wind percentages (to around 37-42%), but remaining swell energy from winter storms can still produce fun, good-sized waves, especially when a strong cold front aligns with clean northwesterly winds.

Low Surf Season (November - February)

The Brazilian summer brings smaller, less consistent surf to Sao Conrado. Average wave heights drop to around 1.1-1.3m with shorter periods (9-10 seconds) as the South Pacific storm track weakens. Dominant ESE to SE winds often create bumpy, onshore conditions, though occasional pulses of S swell can sneak in. The mornings are your best bet, as light offshore breezes from the interior can temporarily groom the waves before the afternoon sea breeze kicks in. It's groveling territory, but still fun for a longboard or a high-performance shortboard when a summer swell aligns.

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Conditions at Sao Conrado in January

January: The Summer Lull

January sees the peak of the Brazilian summer. The South Atlantic storm track retreats, leading to smaller average swell heights of 1.1m with a moderate period of 9.5s. Swells arrive predominantly from the SSE and S, providing fun-sized waves in the 0.5-1.5m range, but the trade winds dominate from the ENE and E, often creating bumpy afternoon conditions. Mornings offer the best chance for clean conditions as light offshore breezes from the north can groom the surface. With 51% ideal wind, it's a month for the early riser to score groomed, rippable waves before the onshore flow sets in.

Average Spot conditions at Sao Conrado in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Sao Conrado during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Sao Conrado for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Sao Conrado for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Sao Conrado.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size