Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Sao Conrado seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (May - August)

During the Southern Hemisphere winter, Sao Conrado comes alive with consistent, long-period swell from the South Atlantic. The combination of strong extratropical storms roaring through the 'Roaring Forties' sends powerful S and SSE groundswells up the coast, producing average wave heights of 1.4 to 1.5m with periods exceeding 10 seconds. Coupled with the highest percentages of offshore wind from the north quadrant (often over 50% ideal conditions), this is when the beach truly fires. Expect clean, powerful lines wrapping into the bay, offering rippable walls and occasional pumping sets.

Fair Surf Season (March - April, September - October)

The shoulder seasons offer a mixed bag. As the seasons transition, the South Atlantic low-pressure tracks become less consistent. March and April still see decent swell, often with longer periods (10+ seconds), but the wind quality becomes more variable with an increase in easterly trade winds. September and October show a decline in ideal wind percentages (to around 37-42%), but remaining swell energy from winter storms can still produce fun, good-sized waves, especially when a strong cold front aligns with clean northwesterly winds.

Low Surf Season (November - February)

The Brazilian summer brings smaller, less consistent surf to Sao Conrado. Average wave heights drop to around 1.1-1.3m with shorter periods (9-10 seconds) as the South Pacific storm track weakens. Dominant ESE to SE winds often create bumpy, onshore conditions, though occasional pulses of S swell can sneak in. The mornings are your best bet, as light offshore breezes from the interior can temporarily groom the waves before the afternoon sea breeze kicks in. It's groveling territory, but still fun for a longboard or a high-performance shortboard when a summer swell aligns.

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Conditions at Sao Conrado in March

March: Autumn Transition

March marks the transition into fall. Swell heights creep up to 1.2m on average, with a noticeable increase in period to 10.4s, hinting at more distant storm activity. The swell direction shifts further south, with SSE and S accounting for over 58% of the wave energy. However, ideal wind conditions drop to 47% as the trade winds still dominate from the east, but we start to see more frequent southwesterly winds associated with passing cold fronts. These fronts can bring a brief window of offshore NW flow before deteriorating, making March a month of mixed conditions but with increasing potential for quality surf.

Average Spot conditions at Sao Conrado in March

Swell history for March

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for March

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Sao Conrado during March. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Sao Conrado for your next trip in March.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Sao Conrado for March. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Sao Conrado.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size