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Conditions at El Chinchorro in July
July: Cleaner Trade Wind Surf Returns
July is the pick of the summer months thanks to a wind shift back toward the northwest. Ideal surf wind jumps to 63%, and NNW wind accounts for 31.6% of all observations. Swell remains trade-wind driven: ESE is 61.9% and E is 31.6%, with a meaningful increase in the E lobe compared to June. Average wave height is still 1.1m (3.6ft) at 6.5s, so size is limited but the surface is cleaner. The S/SSW/SW window is still 0.0%, but the combination of offshore NNW flow and solid E/ESE swell helps the sandbar and wave faces hold up better than in May and June. Water temperature reaches 28.7°C, air temperature 27.7°C, and rainfall is 1.62 mm/day. Look for morning glass and shorter-period, rippable waves in the chest-high range.
Average Spot conditions at El Chinchorro in July
Swell history for July
Wind history for July
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at El Chinchorro during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at El Chinchorro for your next trip in July.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at El Chinchorro for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at El Chinchorro.