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Conditions at El Chinchorro in October
October: Smallest Averages, Big Hurricane Potential
October is the cruellest month at El Chinchorro: the average wave height bottoms out at 0.8m (2.5ft), the period at 6.0s, and the S/SSW/SW window, while improved at 2.7%, is still vanishingly small. Dominant swell remains ESE at 47.4%, with E at 18.7% and SE at 16.9% not far behind. The wind picture is a mixed bag: NNW leads at 32.9%, but southerly flows increase - S at 4.8%, SSW at 3.7%, SSE at 6.0% - and the sea breeze is active. Ideal surf wind holds at 56%. The wildcard is the tail of hurricane season; a well-placed tropical depression can fire long-period S/SW groundswell into an otherwise tiny, sleepy month. Most days are dribbly knee-to-waist-high, but the rare tropical swell makes October worth watching. Water temperature is 29.0°C, air temperature 27.1°C, and rainfall averages 1.86 mm/day.
Average Spot conditions at El Chinchorro in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at El Chinchorro during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at El Chinchorro for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at El Chinchorro for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at El Chinchorro.