Conditions at El Chinchorro in September
September: Hurricane Season Wildcard
September is a fascinating transition month. Average wave height drops to 0.9m (3ft) and period to 6.2s, statistically the smallest of the year. The ESE lobe remains dominant at 48.2%, but the S/SSW/SW family finally shows a pulse at around 2% - still small, yet more than any previous month. This is the time when passing tropical cyclones or their remnants can send much-needed southerly energy toward the shore. Winds are still mostly offshore from the NNW at 32.5%, though southerly components begin to creep in: S at 4.1%, SSW at 3.6% and SE at 7.7%. Ideal surf wind is 55%. If a hurricane stalls in the Bahamas or a tropical wave aligns perfectly, September can produce the longest-period waves of the summer - but on average it remains small and inconsistent. Water temperature peaks at 29.2°C with air temperature at 27.6°C.
Average Spot conditions at El Chinchorro in September
Swell history for September
Wind history for September
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at El Chinchorro during September. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at El Chinchorro for your next trip in September.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at El Chinchorro for September. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at El Chinchorro.