Careneros - surf spot statistics

Careneros in Panama is primarily a windswell-dominated spot, with very little ground swell influence throughout the year. The best months for surfers are typically from December through March, when swell consistency and wind conditions are most favorable. During these months, windswell makes up 97-98% of the waves, with negligible ground swell, and mean swell sizes range between 1.3m and 1.5m. Wind conditions are relatively good, with favorable winds occurring 56-60% of the time, though there’s still a notable chance of poor wind days, especially in March when offshore winds are slightly more frequent. Swell size begins to drop in April, averaging 1.1m, and wind reliability decreases, making early-year months more consistent. May through November sees a decline in quality, with September and October being particularly weak—swell size drops to 0.7m-0.8m, and wind conditions worsen significantly, with bad winds occurring over 50-63% of the time. July stands out as a minor exception in the mid-year slump, with a small swell uptick (1.4m) and slightly improved winds. Overall, the ideal window is December to March, offering the most reliable size and better wind odds, though surfers should be prepared for some onshore interference, given that bad winds still occur 40-44% of the time even in peak months. Late-season surf (September-November) is generally poor due to weak swells and unfavorable winds.

In June, Careneros offers surfable conditions with an average swell height of 1.2m and a decent period of 8.5s, producing relatively clean and organized waves. The swell predominantly comes from NE and ENE directions, with the majority of waves in the 1-1.5m range (34.04% from NE) and a solid portion also in the 0.5-1m range (18.78% from ENE). Larger sets up to 2.5m occasionally roll through, especially from ENE and NE swells. Wind conditions are favorable 52% of the time, with lighter winds (below 20kph) most common from NNE to ESE, keeping the surface clean for surfing. However, stronger WNW and NW winds (10-20kph and higher) can occasionally disrupt conditions, especially in the afternoons. Overall, June provides consistent, mid-sized waves with good shape when winds cooperate—best surfed in the mornings before the breeze picks up. Intermediate to advanced surfers will find the most opportunity, particularly on NE swells generating the best size and energy.