One Palm Point seasonal overview
Best Surf Season (April - June)
As the Indian Ocean monsoon trough shifts north, the trade winds relax and One Palm Point enters its prime window. During these months, long-period groundswells from the deep south (SSW to SW) wrap around the point, delivering consistent, powerful waves averaging 1.5 to 1.8m. More importantly, the wind regime becomes dominated by favourable S to WSW offshore breezes, grooming the waves into clean, rippable lines. With ideal wind conditions 48-60% of the time, this is the epicentre of the year for surfers chasing quality, smooth faces and decent size.
Fair Surf Season (November - March)
The fair season coincides with the early and late winter monsoon. Swell heights hold steady around 1.5m with good periods of 12-13 seconds, primarily from the SSW to WSW quadrants. However, the wind blows onshore from the NW to WNW more frequently, limiting clean conditions to roughly 15-42% of the time. When the offshore windows align with the occasional wrap-around swell, the point can fire, but consistency is lacking; you'll need to pick the right days.
Low Surf Season (July - October)
Mid to late summer sees the Indian Ocean roaring with powerful long-period swells, peaking at 2.0-2.1m in August and September. Yet, these months are humbling for One Palm Point. The wind becomes overwhelmingly cross-onshore from the SE to SSE, with ideal offshore conditions dropping to a mere 10-21%. The combination of big, raw swell and choppy, onshore wind makes for challenging, often unsurfable conditions. Only the rare, fleeting window of a southerly shift offers hope.
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Conditions at One Palm Point in January
January: Deep South Swell and Offshore Windows
January averages 1.5m of swell with a period of 12.1s, offering a mix of mid-range to long-period energy. Almost all of the wave action comes from the S, SSW, and SW directions, with SSW leading at 37.5% and SW at 27.5%. While these angles are not ideal for the NW-facing point, the longer period allows for some refraction around the headland, producing rideable, punchy waves in the 1-1.5m range. Wind conditions are a mixed bag: only 15% of the time are winds offshore (S to WSW), while the dominant wind from WNW (29.6%) and NW (12.9%) delivers choppy, onshore conditions. Look for brief prefrontal squalls or early morning windows when the breeze swings southerly.
Average Spot conditions at One Palm Point in January
Swell history for January
Wind history for January
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at One Palm Point during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at One Palm Point for your next trip in January.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at One Palm Point for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at One Palm Point.
