Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

One Palm Point seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (April - June)

As the Indian Ocean monsoon trough shifts north, the trade winds relax and One Palm Point enters its prime window. During these months, long-period groundswells from the deep south (SSW to SW) wrap around the point, delivering consistent, powerful waves averaging 1.5 to 1.8m. More importantly, the wind regime becomes dominated by favourable S to WSW offshore breezes, grooming the waves into clean, rippable lines. With ideal wind conditions 48-60% of the time, this is the epicentre of the year for surfers chasing quality, smooth faces and decent size.

Fair Surf Season (November - March)

The fair season coincides with the early and late winter monsoon. Swell heights hold steady around 1.5m with good periods of 12-13 seconds, primarily from the SSW to WSW quadrants. However, the wind blows onshore from the NW to WNW more frequently, limiting clean conditions to roughly 15-42% of the time. When the offshore windows align with the occasional wrap-around swell, the point can fire, but consistency is lacking; you'll need to pick the right days.

Low Surf Season (July - October)

Mid to late summer sees the Indian Ocean roaring with powerful long-period swells, peaking at 2.0-2.1m in August and September. Yet, these months are humbling for One Palm Point. The wind becomes overwhelmingly cross-onshore from the SE to SSE, with ideal offshore conditions dropping to a mere 10-21%. The combination of big, raw swell and choppy, onshore wind makes for challenging, often unsurfable conditions. Only the rare, fleeting window of a southerly shift offers hope.

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Conditions at One Palm Point in July

July: Big Swell, Challenging Winds

July delivers the largest average swell so far: 2.0m with a period of 14.5s. The swell is powerful and heavy, with 44% from SSW and 37.5% from S, plus a solid 6.3% from SSE. Many waves register in the 1.5-2.5m range, offering plenty of size. However, the wind becomes a real adversary. Ideal offshore conditions drop to 32%, as the SE wind dominates a whopping 55.8% of the time. That SE wind is cross-shore for the point, creating lumpy, textured faces. You'll need a sharp eye for the brief windows when the wind backs to SSE or S, cleaning up the waves. When it aligns, July can serve up some of the biggest and most powerful waves of the year, but expect windy, messy conditions more often than not.

Average Spot conditions at One Palm Point in July

Swell history for July

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for July

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at One Palm Point during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at One Palm Point for your next trip in July.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at One Palm Point for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at One Palm Point.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size