Lucky Point - surf spot statistics

Lucky Point in the Philippines is primarily a windswell-dominated spot, with ground swells playing a secondary role throughout most of the year. The surf is consistently present, with no-swell periods being rare except for a few months in the middle of the year. The best months for surfers here are likely August through October, as they offer the most favorable balance of swell size, ground swell contribution, and wind conditions. During these months, ground swells increase—peaking at 35% in September—while windswell remains strong enough to maintain rideable waves. The average swell size hovers around 0.9–1.0m, which is manageable for most surfers. Crucially, wind conditions improve significantly from July onward, with August and September having the highest percentage of good wind days (28% and 34%, respectively), though onshore winds still dominate. The rest of the year, particularly from November to April, sees larger swells (1.5–2.4m), but strong onshore winds make conditions challenging, with over 95% of days having unfavorable winds. May to July offers smaller waves (0.9–1.1m) and slightly better winds, though still mostly cross-onshore. If consistent, clean surf is the priority, September stands out as the top month, offering a mix of ground swell, manageable size, and the least unfavorable winds. However, surfers should expect year-round wind-affected conditions, with rare glassy days outside the late-season window.

July at Lucky Point offers generally small but rideable surf, with an average swell height of 0.9m and a decent period of 8.8s, suggesting some energy in the waves despite the modest size. The dominant swell directions are ENE and E, accounting for the majority of waves in the 0.5-1.5m range, with ENE swells being particularly frequent. While smaller waves (0.5-1m) are most common, there are occasional larger sets (1.5-2.5m), primarily from ENE, E, and SSW directions, providing variety for different skill levels. Wind conditions are a mixed bag—about 25% of the time, winds are ideal for surfing, but the data shows a tendency for onshore winds from the E and ESE directions at moderate speeds (10-20kph), which can create chop. Stronger winds (20-50kph) occasionally come from the SW, SSW, and S, potentially disrupting conditions. Overall, July delivers consistent but small surf, best suited for longboarding or less demanding sessions, with occasional clean days when winds cooperate and swells push through from the ENE or E. Patient surfers will find rideable waves, though it’s not the most powerful or groomed month for the spot.