Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Lucky Point seasonal overview

Lucky Point in the Philippines is primarily a windswell-dominated spot, with ground swells playing a secondary role throughout most of the year. The surf is consistently present, with no-swell periods being rare except for a few months in the middle of the year. The best months for surfers here are likely August through October, as they offer the most favorable balance of swell size, ground swell contribution, and wind conditions. During these months, ground swells increase—peaking at 35% in September—while windswell remains strong enough to maintain rideable waves. The average swell size hovers around 0.9–1.0m, which is manageable for most surfers. Crucially, wind conditions improve significantly from July onward, with August and September having the highest percentage of good wind days (28% and 34%, respectively), though onshore winds still dominate. The rest of the year, particularly from November to April, sees larger swells (1.5–2.4m), but strong onshore winds make conditions challenging, with over 95% of days having unfavorable winds. May to July offers smaller waves (0.9–1.1m) and slightly better winds, though still mostly cross-onshore. If consistent, clean surf is the priority, September stands out as the top month, offering a mix of ground swell, manageable size, and the least unfavorable winds. However, surfers should expect year-round wind-affected conditions, with rare glassy days outside the late-season window.

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Conditions at Lucky Point in September

Lucky Point in September offers generally fun surf conditions with a mix of smaller waves and occasional quality swell windows. The average swell height is 1.0m with a solid 9.9s period, providing enough push for decent rides, particularly when the ENE-NE swells (dominant directions) align. These swells account for the majority of waves in the 0.5-2m range, with NE and ENE contributing over 60% of rideable conditions. However, larger swells (2m+) are rare, limiting big-wave potential. Wind is a key factor here—only 34% of days see ideal offshore or light cross-shore winds (mostly ENE-E), while stronger onshore SW-WSW winds (10-30+ kph) can spoil conditions on 15-20% of days. Surfers should watch for NE-ENE swells paired with lighter E-ENE winds for the cleanest sessions. Overall, September delivers consistent but not epic surf, best suited for intermediate surfers who can capitalize on the mid-sized, well-period swells when winds cooperate.

Average Spot conditions at Lucky Point in September

Swell history for September

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for September

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Lucky Point during September. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Lucky Point for your next trip in September.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Lucky Point for September. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Lucky Point.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size