Lucky Point - surf spot statistics

Best Surf Season (October - November)

As the northeast monsoon begins to waver and the intertropical convergence zone shifts, October and November serve up the most promising balance of swell size and offshore potential at Lucky Point. Average wave heights climb to a solid 1.4–1.7m with periods cresting into the 9–10s range, offering powerful, punchy lines. While the wind statistics show ideal offshore conditions only 19% of the time in October and a scant 4% in November, the autumn transition is the one window when synoptic patterns can align—a passing cold front or a tropical cyclone tracking north can flip the wind from the dominant NE/ENE to a clean SW or W flow. Those golden windows reward the patient surfer with pumping, glassy waves that wrap into the beach.

Fair Surf Season (December - April)

Winter and early spring bring the largest swell of the year, with average heights ranging from 1.3m in April to a peak of 2.1m in December and January. The wave period hovers around 9s, which translates to powerful, long-period swell that can produce heavy, firing conditions when the wind cooperates. However, the northeast trades dominate the region during these months—NE and ENE winds blow over 70% of the time, directly onshore at this Ost-Nord-Ost facing beach. As a result, the surf is often choppy, messy, and blown out. The wind is ideal only 1–2% of the time, meaning you need a rare westerly wind event or a local sea breeze to salvage a session. On the bright side, when the planets align, you’ll find epic, pumping surf with minimal crowds.

Low Surf Season (May - September)

From late spring through early autumn, the southwest monsoon takes hold, delivering the highest frequency of offshore winds (SW–WNW). Ideal wind percentages climb from 15% in May to a peak of 49% in August, making for clean, groomed waves more often than not. Unfortunately, the swell takes a big hit during these months. Average wave heights drop to a modest 0.9–1.0m with periods in the 8–9s range, resulting in small, fun-sized, groveling surf. The dominant swell direction shifts from the winter’s NE/ENE to a mix of E and even some S–SW pulses, but those southerly swells are poorly exposed at Lucky Point and rarely produce rideable waves. While you won’t find any epic barrels here, the consistent offshore winds make this the most reliable period for a longboard or a groveler, with clean, rippable walls that stay fun all day.

May: Monsoon Onset, Small Swell, Cleaner Windows

May marks a turning point as average swell height falls to 1.0m with an 8.6s period, ushering in small, groveling conditions. The swell becomes more mixed: ENE still leads (46.1%), but E swell surges to 40.1%, and there are minor contributions from NNE, NE, and even S–SW directions. Wave heights are predominantly in the 0.5–1m and 1–1.5m ranges, so expect fun but not powerful surf. The wind regime shifts dramatically. The NE/ENE quadrant drops to 17.1% combined, while easterly and southeasterly winds become common. Most importantly, offshore winds (SW–WNW) jump to about 7.4% of the time, and ideal surf conditions hit 15%. This is the first month where you have a real shot at clean, offshore waves on a regular basis. The trade-off is size: you’ll be groveling on a shortboard or reaching for a log. Still, the consistency of clean conditions makes May a great month for long sessions and skill-building.