Lucky Point - surf spot statistics

Best Surf Season (October - November)

As the northeast monsoon begins to waver and the intertropical convergence zone shifts, October and November serve up the most promising balance of swell size and offshore potential at Lucky Point. Average wave heights climb to a solid 1.4–1.7m with periods cresting into the 9–10s range, offering powerful, punchy lines. While the wind statistics show ideal offshore conditions only 19% of the time in October and a scant 4% in November, the autumn transition is the one window when synoptic patterns can align—a passing cold front or a tropical cyclone tracking north can flip the wind from the dominant NE/ENE to a clean SW or W flow. Those golden windows reward the patient surfer with pumping, glassy waves that wrap into the beach.

Fair Surf Season (December - April)

Winter and early spring bring the largest swell of the year, with average heights ranging from 1.3m in April to a peak of 2.1m in December and January. The wave period hovers around 9s, which translates to powerful, long-period swell that can produce heavy, firing conditions when the wind cooperates. However, the northeast trades dominate the region during these months—NE and ENE winds blow over 70% of the time, directly onshore at this Ost-Nord-Ost facing beach. As a result, the surf is often choppy, messy, and blown out. The wind is ideal only 1–2% of the time, meaning you need a rare westerly wind event or a local sea breeze to salvage a session. On the bright side, when the planets align, you’ll find epic, pumping surf with minimal crowds.

Low Surf Season (May - September)

From late spring through early autumn, the southwest monsoon takes hold, delivering the highest frequency of offshore winds (SW–WNW). Ideal wind percentages climb from 15% in May to a peak of 49% in August, making for clean, groomed waves more often than not. Unfortunately, the swell takes a big hit during these months. Average wave heights drop to a modest 0.9–1.0m with periods in the 8–9s range, resulting in small, fun-sized, groveling surf. The dominant swell direction shifts from the winter’s NE/ENE to a mix of E and even some S–SW pulses, but those southerly swells are poorly exposed at Lucky Point and rarely produce rideable waves. While you won’t find any epic barrels here, the consistent offshore winds make this the most reliable period for a longboard or a groveler, with clean, rippable walls that stay fun all day.

June: Small but Clean, Monsoon Winds Deliver

June sees the average swell bottom out at 0.9m with an 8.0s period—micro to small surf that demands patience and the right equipment. Swell direction broadens: E takes the lead at 57.8%, with ENE at 18.1% and notable amounts from SE–S (over 10%) and even SSW (3.6%). Those southerly swells are largely shadowed by the spot’s ENE exposure, so the bulk of rideable waves come from the E and ENE quadrants. The wind story improves further: ideal offshore conditions now occur 27% of the time, as the SW monsoon strengthens. Southwest and SSW winds together account for 20.7% of observations, providing clean, offshore flow. The trades from NE–ENE have dwindled to a mere 8.4%. June offers consistent, glassy mornings with light offshore winds, but the waves are small—mostly waist to chest high on the best days. This is prime time for a longboard or a high-performance groveler.