Lucky Point - surf spot statistics

Lucky Point in the Philippines is primarily a windswell-dominated spot, with ground swells playing a secondary role throughout most of the year. The surf is consistently present, with no-swell periods being rare except for a few months in the middle of the year. The best months for surfers here are likely August through October, as they offer the most favorable balance of swell size, ground swell contribution, and wind conditions. During these months, ground swells increase—peaking at 35% in September—while windswell remains strong enough to maintain rideable waves. The average swell size hovers around 0.9–1.0m, which is manageable for most surfers. Crucially, wind conditions improve significantly from July onward, with August and September having the highest percentage of good wind days (28% and 34%, respectively), though onshore winds still dominate. The rest of the year, particularly from November to April, sees larger swells (1.5–2.4m), but strong onshore winds make conditions challenging, with over 95% of days having unfavorable winds. May to July offers smaller waves (0.9–1.1m) and slightly better winds, though still mostly cross-onshore. If consistent, clean surf is the priority, September stands out as the top month, offering a mix of ground swell, manageable size, and the least unfavorable winds. However, surfers should expect year-round wind-affected conditions, with rare glassy days outside the late-season window.

March at Lucky Point offers consistent surf with an average swell height of 1.8m and a solid 9.3s period, providing well-formed, rideable waves. The swell is primarily ENE (53.4% of waves between 1-2.5m), delivering clean, mid-sized energy with occasional punchier sets, while smaller contributions from NE and E keep variety in the lineup. Winds are the main limiting factor: ENE trades dominate (30.7% of observations at 10-30kph), often creating side-shore chop, though 1% of days see glassy offshore conditions. Expect the best sessions early mornings before winds strengthen—mid-sized ENE swells with lighter winds will offer the cleanest walls. Windswell is negligible, so focus on groundswell days for peak performance. Advanced surfers can handle the occasional head-high+ sets (2.5m+), but most days are manageable for intermediates. Patience with wind timing is key.