Kincardine - surf spot statistics

Kincardine, Canada, is primarily a windswell-dominated spot with occasional ground swell influence, particularly in late summer and fall. The best months for surfing are typically from September through December, when swell consistency and size improve. September stands out with a noticeable increase in ground swell (11%) compared to other months, while October to December see the highest wind swell percentages (80-85%) and minimal no-swell days (7-13%). Swell size also peaks in December with a mean of 1.5m, offering the most substantial waves of the year. However, wind conditions are generally poor year-round, with bad winds (onshore or cross-shore) dominating 85-93% of the time across all months. Late fall (October-November) provides a slightly better balance, with 11% good wind days—still low but marginally better than other periods. Summer (June-August) is the least favorable due to smaller swells (0.6-0.7m) and higher no-swell likelihood. For dedicated surfers, the shoulder seasons (September-early December) are the best bet, despite the challenging winds, as they deliver the most consistent and sizable waves. Winter (December-February) brings bigger swells but worse wind conditions, making sessions rare and highly conditions-dependent. If you can time sessions around the occasional clean wind day in late fall, that’s your best shot at scoring decent waves in Kincardine.

February at Kincardine offers surfable conditions, though they tend to be inconsistent with smaller waves on average. The mean swell height is **1.1m** with a **6.6s period**, resulting in generally softer, mushier waves—ideal for beginners or longboarding when conditions align. The most dominant swell directions are **NNW, W, and ESE**, contributing to the majority of rideable waves, particularly in the **0.5-2.5m** range. Larger swells (over 2.5m) are rare, making it a spot better suited for mellower sessions rather than heavy surf. Wind conditions are often challenging, with **only 7%** being ideal (typically light offshore or cross-offshore). The most frequent winds come from the **W, WSW, and WNW**, often blowing **10-30+ kph**, which can create choppy or blown-out conditions. Stronger winds (over 30 kph) are common, reducing surf quality. The best chances for clean waves occur when winds shift **NNE to E**, but these instances are infrequent. Overall, February is hit-or-miss—expect smaller, slower waves with variable wind interference. Patience is key, and the occasional clean day with waist-high+ waves can reward those who time it right. Not a premier winter destination, but suitable for relaxed sessions when conditions line up.