Jake's Point - surf spot statistics

Best Surf Season (May - August)

The austral winter is the prime time for Jake's Point. As the Southern Ocean whips up powerful storm systems, long-period SW swell trains march toward the Australian coast. Combined with the highest probability of offshore easterly winds (up to 48% in June), this window delivers the most consistent and quality waves. Swell heights average 1.8-1.9m with periods exceeding 12 seconds, bringing punchy to powerful surf. The wind often cleans up the ocean surface, creating rippable conditions.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

These transition months offer a blend of winter's swell potential with improving or degrading conditions. April sees the start of the good winter pattern with 42% ideal wind and periods increasing to 11.5s. September still carries heavy SW swell but wind consistency drops to 34% as the trade winds shift. You can score solid waves but with more variable conditions.

Low Surf Season (October - March)

The austral spring and summer months are characterized by persistent southerly winds and a dominance of shorter-period S/SSW swell that rarely aligns with the optimal west-northwest exposure. Ideal wind percentages plummet to 16-24%, and the average period hovers around 9-10 seconds, often resulting in average to choppy surf. The rare frontal system may bring a brief window of W-NW swell, but good days are few and far between.

December: The Deep Low

December represents the nadir of the surf year at Jake's Point. Average swell height is 1.9m, but the period is a mere 9.4s, and the swell direction is overwhelmingly from the south (19.1% S, 56.1% SSW)—the antithesis of optimal. Ideal wind hits a yearly low of 16%, as the wind regime is dominated by strong southerly and SSE winds (over 58%). The summer pattern locks in: a strong subtropical ridge pushes consistent south-flowing winds, while weak sources deliver short-period, messy energy. Only the rarest interaction of a tropical low or trough can produce a W-NW swell with offshore conditions. Most days are small and choppy; bring a grovel board or wait for the rare gem.