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Jake's Point - surf spot statistics
Jake's Point seasonal overview
Best Surf Season (May - August)
The austral winter is the prime time for Jake's Point. As the Southern Ocean whips up powerful storm systems, long-period SW swell trains march toward the Australian coast. Combined with the highest probability of offshore easterly winds (up to 48% in June), this window delivers the most consistent and quality waves. Swell heights average 1.8-1.9m with periods exceeding 12 seconds, bringing punchy to powerful surf. The wind often cleans up the ocean surface, creating rippable conditions.
Fair Surf Season (April & September)
These transition months offer a blend of winter's swell potential with improving or degrading conditions. April sees the start of the good winter pattern with 42% ideal wind and periods increasing to 11.5s. September still carries heavy SW swell but wind consistency drops to 34% as the trade winds shift. You can score solid waves but with more variable conditions.
Low Surf Season (October - March)
The austral spring and summer months are characterized by persistent southerly winds and a dominance of shorter-period S/SSW swell that rarely aligns with the optimal west-northwest exposure. Ideal wind percentages plummet to 16-24%, and the average period hovers around 9-10 seconds, often resulting in average to choppy surf. The rare frontal system may bring a brief window of W-NW swell, but good days are few and far between.
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Conditions at Jake's Point in September
September: Autumn's Last Gasp
September marks the beginning of spring and a gradual downturn. Swell height holds at 1.9m and period at 12.0s, so the ocean still has muscle. SW swell remains dominant at 43.9%, but the proportion of S and SSW swell is rising. Ideal wind drops to 34% as the trade winds weaken and southerly winds start reasserting themselves (S and SSE now 33.1%). The synoptic pattern is more transitional—low pressure systems still bring swell, but highs become more mobile. You can still score excellent waves, especially early in the month, but the consistency starts to fade. Prepare for more mixed conditions.
Average Spot conditions at Jake's Point in September
Swell history for September
Wind history for September
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Jake's Point during September. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Jake's Point for your next trip in September.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Jake's Point for September. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Jake's Point.