Jake's Point - surf spot statistics

Best Surf Season (May - August)

The austral winter is the prime time for Jake's Point. As the Southern Ocean whips up powerful storm systems, long-period SW swell trains march toward the Australian coast. Combined with the highest probability of offshore easterly winds (up to 48% in June), this window delivers the most consistent and quality waves. Swell heights average 1.8-1.9m with periods exceeding 12 seconds, bringing punchy to powerful surf. The wind often cleans up the ocean surface, creating rippable conditions.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

These transition months offer a blend of winter's swell potential with improving or degrading conditions. April sees the start of the good winter pattern with 42% ideal wind and periods increasing to 11.5s. September still carries heavy SW swell but wind consistency drops to 34% as the trade winds shift. You can score solid waves but with more variable conditions.

Low Surf Season (October - March)

The austral spring and summer months are characterized by persistent southerly winds and a dominance of shorter-period S/SSW swell that rarely aligns with the optimal west-northwest exposure. Ideal wind percentages plummet to 16-24%, and the average period hovers around 9-10 seconds, often resulting in average to choppy surf. The rare frontal system may bring a brief window of W-NW swell, but good days are few and far between.

October: Spring's Onset

October signals a clear shift toward less favourable conditions. Average swell height stays at 1.9m but the period falls to 11.1s as the dominant swell sources migrate. While SW still contributes 32.2%, S and SSW swell combine for over 51%—less optimal. Ideal wind plummets to 24% as the prevailing winds turn southerly again (S and SSE over 46%). The spring transition sees high pressure ridges often parking north of the region, funnelling strong southerly winds. Most days deliver average, short-period waves with onshore chop. The occasional cold front can still bring a good W-SW swell and easterly clearing winds, but windows are narrow.